The Federal NDP Leadership Race Comes to St. John’s
By: Ryan Young
I decided to take in the federal NDP leadership debate in
St. John’s on Sunday in order to see how the competition to decide who will take
on Justin Trudeau in 2019 was shaping up. I was expecting a fiery and spirited
debate and I was not disappointed.
After the NDP’s historic collapse in 2015, many were left to
ponder the future of the federal New Democrats. After winning official
opposition status with 103 seats in 2011, Tom Mulcair was unable to capitalize
on that momentum and a disappointing
campaign saw only 44 NDP MP’s elected to the House of Commons. As a
result, Mulcair narrowly lost a leadership review last April, which began the
search for a new leader to unite the party, and the electorate.
There are five candidates currently in the running for the
leadership and they all took in the capital city this weekend, meeting with
people to hear about the concerns of NL voters and to talk about policy. After
being shutout in Atlantic Canada in the last election, the NDP are keen to
rebuild support “down-east,” and winning back the seats the lost here in this province is a big
priority.
There are no real frontrunners in the race at this point but
the candidates are beginning to reveal their policy ideas and the debate on
Sunday was the most divisive so far among the hopefuls. While they may appear
very similar when it comes to policy, there are some distinct differences that
will separate them leading up to the vote in September.
Jagmeet Singh, the newcomer to the race, faced some attacks
from his fellow candidates as he was questioned on his commitment to the
federal party and his failure to commit to a policy on pipelines until he had a
chance to consult with voters in Alberta and BC. The Ontario MPP and former
lawyer stepped down from his role as Deputy Leader of the Ontario NDP to join
the federal leadership race, and he hopes to lead the charge against poverty and
inequality. Singh is very popular, and he has the potential to unite the half
million Sikh voters in the country, which would be a big boost to NDP fortunes
if they wish to form a government. Some have described him as a “Progressive
Justin Trudeau.” He is very selfie friendly and talks like a very skilled
politician, but he failed to offer much in the way of solid policy ideas. In
fairness, he is new to the race and is promising to release his policy
platform soon.
Peter Julian also took some heat during the debate about the
credibility of his policy ideas. The point was made that Justin Trudeau had
many aspirations during the last election, but has failed to deliver on many of
his promises. As such, NDP policy should produce promises that are well
thought-out and costed. Julian spent most of his time talking about climate
change and clean energy jobs and defending his ideas about affordable housing
and free post-secondary education. The long-time BC MP has been involved with
the party for four decades and is a popular organizer and activist. While
Julian certainly has some good ideas, he was not able to demonstrate how he
would implement his policies and I don’t think he was able to convince the
audience that he really understands the issues that matter to the people of NL.
Niki Ashton is a fierce debater in the House of Commons and
she wasted no time in going on the offense on Sunday. She was tough on Singh
for his lack of commitment on pipeline policy and criticized Caron’s basic
income policy as “not being an NDP idea.” Hailing from Manitoba, Ashton has
been one of the most consistent voices in Ottawa when it comes to indigenous
issues and precarious work. At 34, she is the youngest candidate, but by the
time the next election rolls around she will have already spent a decade as an
MP so she certainly can’t be called inexperienced. She seemed to be on the
attack for most of the debate on Sunday and made a strong appeal to millennials
in the audience to support her vision of a stronger Canada for our youth.
Charlie Angus was the most jovial of all of the candidates
at the debate. His casual but direct style is probably the most leader-like of
anyone in the group, but at times it seemed like the debate got away from him
under tough questions from the other candidates. The long-time Timmins, Ontario
MP is an advocate for indigenous rights and is very vocal on the fact that the
NDP needs a clear and concise platform to build the support of Canadians
leading up to 2019. While cracking a few jokes, Angus asked his colleagues
tough questions about how they intend to implement their policy ideas and closed
off by telling us that he has our backs.
Guy Caron was probably the most impressive candidate in the
debate. The MP from Rimouski, Quebec is an economist, and is running his
campaign on a platform of basic income, electoral reform, and tax reform. Caron
probably faced the toughest questions of the day, (an indicator that his
opponents see him as a threat) but I felt that he held his own very well and
was clear in explaining exactly how his policies would work. So far, he is the
only candidate to offer a breakdown of what his policies will cost and how he
plans to implement them. I was also impressed with the fact that he was the
only candidate to talk about what the NDP might demand if they were to hold the
balance of power in a possible minority government situation. This earned him
criticism as it was suggested that he didn’t think the party could win, but
Caron is very much a realist and despite his desire to become Prime Minister,
he understands that the NDP may have a different role to play, depending on where
the cards fall in 2019.
All in all it was a spirited debate and New Democrats should
feel good in knowing that no matter who wins the leadership in September, the
party will be represented by a team of leaders who are bringing some exciting
policy discussions to the forefront. While there was no clear winner or loser,
I felt that Caron made the best remarks about policy, while Angus really drove
home the direction the party needs to take if it wants to have success. With
three months left to go before the vote, it will be interesting to see what
kind of policy ideas come to the table and if the candidates can remain united
and respectful or if the race will get uglier as it moves towards its
conclusion.
No matter who wins this leadership race, they will have their work cut out for them when it comes to rebuilding party support. During the federal Conservative leadership race, the tories were able to triple their membership and the NDP will need to do the same if they wish to be a real threat to Trudeau's re-election hopes. It will be very interesting to see who party members choose, and the direction they take New Democrats in the lead up to 2019. It's an exciting time for the party and this race will be worth watching in the months to come.
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